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A. Relevance and sustainability context

A.1 Policy relevance

This is a highly relevant indicator related to the goals of the National Bioeconomy Strategy to develop an innovative bioeconomy and lead markets. Firm dynamics in the bioeconomy are unclear. Some databases would allow e.g. for additional questions such as employees, investments, age structure, etc.

A.2 Sustainability and / or comparative evaluation options

Benchmark can be the firm structure in other countries, or whole segments (e.g. fossil-based and bio-based firms in a sector).

B. Data availability

B.1 Stage of development

It is a new indicator as there have been a few attempts to identify bioeconomy firms (e.g. Kriesch/Losacker 2024), ECBF, Technopolis, but data is not publicly available and partly questionable. In some segments/sectors, there has been identification of bioeconomy firms in databases; for example for 2nd generation bio-based surfactants in Wydra (2025). Generally, data quality and coverage has limitations in a bottom-up selection and therefore focus was on selected innovative segments.

B.2 Data sources

Ideally a structured database of firms with high coverage of start-up and tech firms (e.g. Orbis, Crunchbase...) and firm characteristic (e.g. employees) to delineate different indicators. Other possibility is web-scrapping, which we would propose as an input to identify firms in databases.

B.3 Coverage over time and replicability

Once a year update thinkable but laborious to continually identify new firms.

B.4 Coverage across scales and sectors; compatibility

In principle international coverage feasible, but difficult (as identification highly manual and also underlying databases have bias in geographical coverage) to achieve same data quality.

C. Considerations for operationalization

C.1 Feasibility: Fit for monitoring

The robust ranking is sufficient. The identification of firms and broad coverage is challenging and the more approaches to identify firms are used (patents, web-scrapping, search's trying in databases), the less transparency is provided.

C.2 Institutions

Fraunhofer ISI, based on Crunchbase data

C.3 Future prospects

The data collection is laborious, probably future coverage dependent on funding for collection.

C.4 Costs, considerations and reproducibility

Reproducibility by others is low, but steps could be made transparent. If database is used, access costs arise.

C.5 Potential for automation

Rather limited, some work (e.g. web-scrapping for identification of firms) could be partly standardized

C.6 Presentation options and breakdown / sub-indicator needs

Number and trend of firms, age structure, investments

C.7 Potential for scenario integration

Rather low

C.8 Interlinkages and alignment with other monitoring activities

Not for the bioeconomy (only for other technologies or segments)

Legend

Tier

Tier I describes the 30 core, priority indicators defined by the project that are highly relevant to represent a specific thematic area and which together with other Tier I indicators forms a systemic perspective of the various risks, opportunities and trade-offs within the Bioeconomy.

Tier II describes explanatory indicators that are of high priority and help to provide more specific information on trends within specific thematic areas.

Stage of development

Established:
Indicators which are already reported in other official monitoring systems

Semi-established:
Indicators which are developed by e.g. federal research institutes as part of long-term and regularly updated initiatives

New
Indicators not previously reported in an official capacity, but well established through research projects

Developing
Indicators under development with some reporting in new state-of-the research projects, but not subject to multiple years of revision and replication

Future
Indicator gaps requiring research for possible future integration

Robustness

Very robust:
methodologically sound, reliable, and fit for bioeconomy monitoring

Robust:
fit, but with acceptable uncertainty and/or potential challenges

Sufficient:
possibly fit, but with foreseeable challenges

Weak:
currently unfit, but short-term potential

Insufficient:
currently unfit, but with long-term potential